Estimation of pancreatic fibrosis and prediction of postoperative pancreatic fistula using extracellular volume fraction in multiphasic contrast-enhanced CT.

• There was a moderate positive correlation of the extracellular volume (ECV) fraction of the pancreas in contrast-enhanced CT with the histologic grade of pancreatic fibrosis (r = 0.476; p < 0.001). • The ECV fraction was higher in advanced fibrosis (F2‒F3) than in no/mild fibrosis (F0‒F1) (p < 0.001), with an AUC of 0.837 for detecting advanced fibrosis. • The ECV fraction was an independent risk factor for predicting subclinical (odds ratio, 0.81) and clinical (odds ratio, 0.80) postoperative pancreatic fistula.