Simulation models predict that school-age children are responsible for most human-to-mosquito Plasmodium falciparum transmission in southern Malawi.
Jenna E CoalsonLauren M CoheeAndrea G BuchwaldAndrew NyambaloJohn KubaleKarl B SeydelDon MathangaTerrie E TaylorMiriam K LauferMark L WilsonPublished in: Malaria journal (2018)
These results suggest that U5 children play a small role compared to SAC in maintaining P. falciparum transmission in southern Malawi. Models that assume biting homogeneity overestimate the importance of U5s. To reduce transmission, interventions will need to reach more SAC and young adults. This publicly available model can be used by others to estimate age-specific transmission contributions in epidemiologically similar sites with local parameter estimates of P. falciparum prevalence and bed net use.