Eliciting uncertainty for complex parameters in model-based economic evaluations: quantifying a temporal change in the treatment effect.
Dina JankovićKatherine PayneMona KanaanLaura BojkePublished in: International journal of technology assessment in health care (2022)
This study suggests that uncertainty in extrapolation can be informed using structured expert elicitation methods. Using structured elicitation to attach values to complex parameters requires key assumptions and simplifications to be considered.