COVID-19 simulation study-the effect of strict non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on controlling the spread of COVID-19.
Amal Alzu'biSanaa Abu AlasalKhalid Ahmed KheirallahValerie WatzlafPublished in: PeerJ (2021)
We observed the deterioration of the state of society while the epidemic is spreading among individuals in the absence of preventive measures. Also, the results show that the herd immunity case was an epidemic, with a high level of spread among the community with 918 cases during a short interval of time. On the other hand, the preventive measures scenario shows a totally controlled spread with only 74 cases applied on the same interval of time. Furthermore, a convergence in the actual results of the real system with the hypothetical system were detected in the case of applying the strict NPI measures. Finally, strict NPI at the community level following social gatherings seem to be effective measures to control the spread of the COVID- 19 pandemic.