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A Recursive Model of the Spread of COVID-19: Modelling Study.

Sergey O Ilyin
Published in: JMIR public health and surveillance (2021)
The quarantine measures adopted in most countries are too weak compared to those previously used in China. Therefore, it is not expected that the spread of COVID-19 will stop and the disease will cease to exist naturally or owing to quarantine measures. Active vaccination of the population is needed to prevent the spread of COVID-19. Furthermore, the required specific percentage of vaccinated individuals depends on the magnitude of viral transmissibility, which can be evaluated using the proposed model and statistical data for the country of interest.
Keyphrases
  • sars cov
  • coronavirus disease
  • respiratory syndrome coronavirus
  • electronic health record
  • machine learning
  • big data
  • deep learning