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Geographically persistent clusters of La Crosse virus disease in the Appalachian region of the United States from 2003 to 2021.

Corey Allen DayAgricola OdoiRebecca Trout Fryxell
Published in: PLoS neglected tropical diseases (2023)
La Crosse virus (LACV) is a mosquito-borne pathogen that causes more pediatric neuroinvasive disease than any other arbovirus in the United States. The geographic focus of reported LACV neuroinvasive disease (LACV-ND) expanded from the Midwest into Appalachia in the 1990s, and most cases have been reported from a few high-risk foci since then. Here, we used publicly available human disease data to investigate changes in the distribution of geographic LACV-ND clusters between 2003 and 2021 and to investigate socioeconomic and demographic predictors of county-level disease risk in states with persistent clusters. We used spatial scan statistics to identify high-risk clusters from 2003-2021 and a generalized linear mixed model to identify socioeconomic and demographic predictors of disease risk. The distribution of LACV-ND clusters was consistent during the study period, with an intermittent cluster in the upper Midwest and three persistent clusters in Appalachia that included counties in east Tennessee / western North Carolina, West Virginia, and Ohio. In those states, county-level cumulative incidence was higher when more of the population was white and when median household income was lower. Public health officials should target efforts to reduce LACV-ND incidence in areas with consistent high risks.
Keyphrases
  • public health
  • risk factors
  • computed tomography
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  • physical activity
  • mental health
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  • deep learning
  • big data
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  • artificial intelligence