Trends in SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence during England's roadmap out of lockdown, January to July 2021.
Oliver EalesHaowei WangDavid HawKylie E C AinslieCaroline E WaltersChristina AtchisonGraham CookeWendy BarclayHelen WardAra DarziDeborah AshbyChristl A DonnellyPaul ElliottSteven RileyPublished in: PLoS computational biology (2022)
High-resolution prevalence data fitted to P-splines allowed us to show that the lockdown was effective at reducing risk of infection with school holidays/closures playing a significant part.