HIV-1 Disease Progression and Drug Resistance Mutations among Children on First-Line Antiretroviral Therapy in Ethiopia.

Background: High rates of disease progression and HIV drug resistance (HIVDR) among adults taking highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) in Sub-Saharan Africa were previously documented. However, children were generally not considered despite their greater risk. Hence, this study was aimed to evaluate HIV-1 disease progression and drug resistance mutation among children on first-line antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia. Method: A longitudinal study was conducted among 551 HIV-positive children (<15 years old) recruited between 2017 and 2019 at 40 antiretroviral treatment delivery sites in Ethiopia. Disease progression was retrospectively measured over a 12-year (2007-2019) follow-up as the progress towards immunosuppression. Two consecutive viral load (VL) tests were conducted in 6-month intervals to assess virologic failure (VF). For children with VF, HIV-1 genotyping and sequencing was performed for the pol gene region using in-house assay validated at the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, and the Stanford HIVDB v9.0 algorithm was used for identification of drug resistance mutations. The Kaplan-Meier analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression model were used to estimate the rate and predictors of disease progression, respectively. Results: The disease progression rate was 6.3 per 100 person-years-observation (95% CI = 4.21-8.53). Overall immunosuppression (CD4 count < 200 cells/mm 3 ) during the 12-year follow-up was 11.3% (95% CI = 7.5-15.1). Immunosuppression was significantly increased as of the mean duration of 10.5 (95% CI = 10.1-10.8) years (38.2%) to 67.8% at 12 years ( p < 0.001). Overall, 14.5% had resistance to at least one drug, and 6.2% had multi-drug resistance. A resistance of 67.8% was observed among children with VF. Resistance to non-nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) and nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI) drugs were 11.4% and 10.1%, respectively. Mutations responsible for NRTI resistance were M184V (30.1%), K65R (12.1%), and D67N (5.6%). Moreover, NNRTI-associated mutations were K103N (14.8%), Y181C (11.8%), and G190A (7.7%). Children who had a history of opportunistic infection [AHR (95% CI) = 3.4 (1.8-6.2)], vitamin D < 20 ng/mL [AHR (95% CI) = 4.5 (2.1-9.9)], drug resistance [AHR (95% CI) = 2.2 (1.4-3.6)], and VF [AHR (95% CI) = 2.82 (1.21, 3.53)] had a higher hazard of disease progression; whereas, being orphan [AOR (95% CI) = 1.8 (1.2-3.1)], history of drug substitution [(AOR (95% CI) = 4.8 (2.1-6.5), hemoglobin < 12 mg/dL [AOR (95% CI) = 1.2 (1.1-2.1)] had higher odds of developing drug resistance. Conclusions: Immunosuppression was increasing over time and drug resistance was also substantially high. Enhancing routine monitoring of viral load and HIVDR and providing a vitamin-D supplement during clinical management could help improve the immunologic outcome. Limiting HAART substitution is also crucial for children taking HAART in Ethiopia.