Megacities as drivers of national outbreaks: The 2017 chikungunya outbreak in Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Ayesha S MahmudMd Iqbal KabirKenth Engø-MonsenSania TahminaBaizid Khoorshid RiazMd Akram HossainFahmida KhanomMd Mujibor RahmanMd Khalilur RahmanMehruba SharminDewan Mashrur HossainShakila YasminMd Mokhtar AhmedMirza Afreen Fatima LushaCaroline O BuckeePublished in: PLoS neglected tropical diseases (2021)
Our results highlight the impact of large-scale population movements, for example during holidays, on the spread of infectious diseases. These dynamics are difficult to capture using traditional approaches, and we compare our results to a standard diffusion model, to highlight the value of real-time data from mobile phones for outbreak analysis, forecasting, and surveillance.