Clinical Trials in Chronic Arthritic Diseases with Underestimated Impact of Placebo Effects on Study Size Calculation.

Whether and to which extent placebo treatment in double-blinded randomized controlled clinical trials is effective in chronic arthritic diseases has not been studied before. Therefore, a systematic literature search was undertaken to detect eligible trials. Demographic data of the placebo groups as well as concomitant and previous disease outcomes were collected. Analyses of significant bivariate correlations and linear regression between clinical endpoints and characteristics of the placebo groups were performed. A total of 152 double-blinded randomized controlled studies, including 21,616 participants in the placebo groups, was analyzed. The results of bivariate correlations and linear regressions revealed significant positive associations between responses in the placebo groups and the following factors: (i) naïvety of previous treatment and (ii) early stage of disease. In addition to the clinical relevance, the results support the importance of the placebo effect on study size calculations, and will allow an optimized calculation of patients' numbers for early placebo-controlled trials conducted in patients with chronic arthritic diseases.