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SARFIMA model prediction for infectious diseases: application to hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and comparing with SARIMA.

Chang QiDandan ZhangYuchen ZhuLili LiuChunyu LiZhiqiang WangXiujun Li
Published in: BMC medical research methodology (2020)
The SARFIMA model produces superior forecast performance than the SARIMA model for HFRS. Hence, the SARFIMA model may help to improve the forecast of monthly HFRS incidence based on a long-range dataset.
Keyphrases
  • infectious diseases
  • risk factors
  • case report