Serum nitric oxide metabolites and hard clinical endpoints: a population-based prospective study.

Objective. Limited data are available regarding prognostic value of nitric oxide metabolites (NOx) for clinical hard end points. In this study, we defined optimum cut-off values of serum NOx for predicting all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality events and prospectively investigated their hazards in the presence of traditional risk factors. Design. Serum NOx concentrations were measured at baseline (2006-2008) and 3520 adult men and women were followed during 7.7 years for all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. To determine the optimal cut-off points of serum NOx, the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) of all-cause and CVD mortality below and above the defined optimal cut-off points of serum NOx. Results. Mean age of participants was 44.5 ± 16.0 years at baseline and 40.2% were male. Median (inter-quartile range) of serum NOx levels was 25.0 µmol/L (19.0-37.0), at baseline. The optimal cut-off points of serum NOx levels for predicting CVD and all-cause mortality were 30.5 and 32.5 µmol/L, respectively. In the presence of age, sex, body mass index, smoking, type 2 diabetes, hypertension, and history of CVD, a significant increased risk of CVD mortality (HR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.10-3.58) and all-cause mortality (HR = 1.52, 95% CI = 1.05-2.21) was observed for serum NOx values higher than their cut-offs. Conclusion. Serum NOx level may be predictor of CVD mortality and death, in general populations.