Post-TACE changes in ADC histogram predict overall and transplant-free survival in patients with well-defined HCC: a retrospective cohort with up to 10 years follow-up.

• Changes in the mean and kurtosis of ADC histograms, as the measures of change in tissue heterogeneity, can be used to predict overall and transplant-free survival in patients with well-defined HCC. • A ≥ 35% increase in volumetric ADC after TACE is an independent predictor of good survival, regardless of the change in ADC histogram kurtosis. • In patients with < 35% ADC change, a decrease in ADC histogram kurtosis indicates partial response and fair survival, while ∆kurtosis ≥ 1 correlates with the worst survival outcome.