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The reduced net carbon uptake over Northern Hemisphere land causes the close-to-normal CO 2 growth rate in 2021 La Niña.

Junjie LiuDavid BakerSourish BasuKevin W BowmanBrendan ByrneFrédéric ChevallierWei HeFei JiangMatthew S JohnsonTerence L KubarXing LiZhiqiang LiuScot M MillerSajeev PhilipJingfeng XiaoJeongmin YunXiao Tang
Published in: Science advances (2024)
La Niña climate anomalies have historically been associated with substantial reductions in the atmospheric CO 2 growth rate. However, the 2021 La Niña exhibited a unique near-neutral impact on the CO 2 growth rate. In this study, we investigate the underlying mechanisms by using an ensemble of net CO 2 fluxes constrained by CO 2 observations from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 in conjunction with estimates of gross primary production and fire carbon emissions. Our analysis reveals that the close-to-normal atmospheric CO 2 growth rate in 2021 was the result of the compensation between increased net carbon uptake over the tropics and reduced net carbon uptake over the Northern Hemisphere mid-latitudes. Specifically, we identify that the extreme drought and warm anomalies in Europe and Asia reduced the net carbon uptake and offset 72% of the increased net carbon uptake over the tropics in 2021. This study contributes to our broader understanding of how regional processes can shape the trajectory of atmospheric CO 2 concentration under climate change.
Keyphrases
  • climate change
  • particulate matter
  • machine learning
  • deep learning
  • air pollution
  • neural network
  • plant growth