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Predicting prognosis for adults with depression using individual symptom data: a comparison of modelling approaches.

Joshua E J BuckmanZ D CohenC O'DriscollE I FriedR SaundersG AmblerR J DeRubeisS GilbodyS D HollonT KendrickE WatkinsT C EleyA J PeelC RaynerD KesslerN WilesG LewisS Pilling
Published in: Psychological medicine (2021)
Any of the modelling techniques (models 1-7) could be used to inform prognostic predictions for depressed adults with differences in the proportions of patients reaching remission based on the predicted severity of depressive symptoms post-treatment. However, the majority of variance in prognosis remained unexplained. It may be necessary to include a broader range of biopsychosocial variables to better adjudicate between competing models, and to derive models with greater clinical utility for treatment-seeking adults with depression.
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