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Prediction of the COVID-19 Pandemic for the Top 15 Affected Countries: Advanced Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Model.

Ram Kumar SinghMeenu RaniAkshaya Srikanth BhagavathulaRanjit SahAlfonso Javier Rodriguez-MoralesHimangshu KalitaChintan NandaShashi SharmaYagya Datt SharmaAli A RabaanJamal RahmaniPavan Kumar
Published in: JMIR public health and surveillance (2020)
The observed predicted values showed that the confirmed cases, deaths, and recoveries will double in all the observed countries except China, Switzerland, and Germany. It was also observed that the death and recovery rates were rose faster when compared to confirmed cases over the next 2 months. The associated mortality rate will be much higher in the United States, Spain, and Italy followed by France, Germany, and the United Kingdom. The forecast analysis of the COVID-19 dynamics showed a different angle for the whole world, and it looks scarier than imagined, but recovery numbers start looking promising by July 7, 2020.
Keyphrases
  • coronavirus disease
  • sars cov
  • high resolution
  • cardiovascular events
  • risk factors
  • cardiovascular disease
  • cross sectional
  • mass spectrometry