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Absolute and relative excess mortality across demographic and clinical subgroups during the COVID-19 pandemic: an individual-level cohort study from a nationwide healthcare system of US Veterans.

Daniel M WeinbergerKrishnan BhaskaranCaroline KorvesBrian P LucasJesse A ColumboAnita VashiLouise DaviesAmy C JusticeChristopher T Rentsch
Published in: medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences (2023)
Most analyses of excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic have focused on evaluations of aggregate data, which may miss important individual-level drivers of excess mortality that may serve as future targets for improvement initiatives.Using individual-level data from a national integrated healthcare system, we estimated absolute and relative excess mortality and number of excess deaths overall and within demographic and clinical subgroups.Absolute rates of excess mortality were typically highest in groups where the baseline rate of mortality was higher; namely in older age groups and among those with more comorbidities and higher levels of physiologic frailty.Relative measures of excess mortality were typically greatest among younger age groups and among those with lower physiologic frailty and fewer comorbidities.Relative measures of excess mortality attenuated but remained elevated after censoring follow-up at first documented SARS-CoV-2 infection or COVID-19, suggesting that factors beyond SARS-CoV-2 infection contributed to the observed excess mortality during the pandemic.
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