Estimating the probability of demonstrating vaccine efficacy in the declining Ebola epidemic: a Bayesian modelling approach.
Anton CamachoRosalind M M EggoSebastian FunkConall H WatsonAdam J KucharskiW John EdmundsPublished in: BMJ open (2015)
The very low Ebola virus disease incidence in Forécariah prefecture means any individually randomised controlled trial implemented there is unlikely to be successful, unless there is a substantial increase in the number of cases.