Potential impact of intervention strategies on COVID-19 transmission in Malawi: a mathematical modelling study.
Tara D MangalCharlie WhittakerDominic NkhomaWingston Ng'ambiOliver John WatsonPatrick WalkerAzra GhaniPaul RevillTimothy ColbournAndrew PhillipsTimothy HallettJoseph Mfutso-BengoPublished in: BMJ open (2021)
We find the interventions currently used in Malawi are unlikely to effectively prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission but will have a significant impact on mortality. Increases in health system capacity and the introduction of novel therapeutics are likely to further reduce the projected numbers of deaths.