Does being physically active prevent future disability in older people? Attenuated effects when taking time-dependent confounders into account.

Contrary to most reports, we did not find that physical activity in older people prevents future instrumental disability, when taking time-dependent confounding into account. This result may be due to the characteristics our particular study population. It is, however, also conceivable that previous evidence neglected the effect of this type of bias. We suggest that analysts of longitudinal observational studies consider marginal structural models as a further modeling approach.