The Incidence of Noninvasive Follicular Thyroid Neoplasm with Papillary-Like Nuclear Features: A Meta-Analysis Assessing Worldwide Impact of the Reclassification.

Background: Noninvasive follicular thyroid neoplasm with papillary-like nuclear features (NIFTP) reclassification has significantly influenced the field of thyroidology. However, the extent of this impact depends upon the incidence of NIFTP in a given population. In this meta-analysis, we aimed to obtain robust information about the actual incidence of NIFTP worldwide by reviewing the published data. Methods: Comprehensive literature search was performed using electronic databases of PubMed and Web of Science over a five-year period (January 1, 2016, to January 30, 2021). The incidence of NIFTP was calculated by dividing the number of NIFTPs by the number of papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs). Meta-analysis of proportion and their 95% confidence interval [CI] were pooled using the random-effect model. Heterogeneity across the included studies was assessed using I2 statistics. Egger's regression test and funnel plot of estimates were used to evaluate the publication bias. p-Value <0.05 was considered significant. Results: From 505 publications, we included 50 studies, all retrospective, with 100,780 PTCs and 3990 NIFTP from 92 institutions worldwide. The overall incidence of NIFTP was 6.0% [CI 4.4-8.2] among PTCs or thyroid malignancies with a high level of heterogeneity among the included studies (I2 = 98.6%). NIFTP incidence was largely similar in North America and Europe (9.3% vs. 9.6%), with a significantly lower overall rate in Asia (2.1%). There was a significant decline in the reported incidence of NIFTP in non-Asian studies published after 2017 (p = 0.002). On applying our data on global thyroid cancer statistics, this reclassification would affect ∼30,881 patients annually, with a lower impact in Asia compared with North America and Europe. Conclusions: This comprehensive meta-analysis confirms that the worldwide NIFTP incidence is much lower than estimated initially. The NIFTP rates are significantly lower in Asian compared with North American and European countries. Apart from geography, NIFTP rates are significantly influenced by the nature of study, type of database used for sample collection, and the diagnostic criteria used. Introduction of NIFTP may potentially spare over 30,000 patients worldwide annually from clinical and psychological consequences of a thyroid cancer diagnosis.