A simple prediction score for prolonged length of stay following elective colorectal cancer surgery.

A simple, clinical score can be used to predict for prolonged LOS based on preoperative variables, allowing for intervention before surgery. Age, neoadjuvant therapy, smoking status, open approach and WBC count are independent risk factors for prolonged length of stay following elective colorectal cancer surgery. A risk score comprising the above independent variables was developed with area under the receiving operator curve of 0.82 (95% CI 0.76-0.88), and a Hosmer-Lemeshow test showing a χ2 statistic of 9.14 and p = 0.519.