Rare Event Kinetics from Adaptive Bias Enhanced Sampling.

We introduce a novel enhanced sampling approach named on-the-fly probability enhanced sampling (OPES) flooding for calculating the kinetics of rare events from atomistic molecular dynamics simulation. This method is derived from the OPES approach [Invernizzi and Parrinello, J. Phys. Chem. Lett. 2020, 11, 7, 2731-2736], which has been recently developed for calculating converged free energy surfaces for complex systems. In this paper, we describe the theoretical details of the OPES flooding technique and demonstrate the application on three systems of increasing complexity: barrier crossing in a two-dimensional double-well potential, conformational transition in the alanine dipeptide in the gas phase, and the folding and unfolding of the chignolin polypeptide in an aqueous environment. From extensive tests, we show that the calculation of accurate kinetics not only requires the transition state to be bias-free, but the amount of bias deposited should also not exceed the effective barrier height measured along the chosen collective variables. In this vein, the possibility of computing rates from biasing suboptimal order parameters has also been explored. Furthermore, we describe the choice of optimum parameter combinations for obtaining accurate results from limited computational effort.