Clinical and analytical validation of Ki-67 in 9069 patients from IBCSG VIII + IX, BIG1-98 and GeparTrio trial: systematic modulation of interobserver variance in a comprehensive in silico ring trial.

Our study shows that Ki-67 is a continuous marker which is extremely robust to pathologist variation. Even if only 50% of variance is attributable to true Ki-67-based proliferation (ICC = 0.5), this information is sufficient to obtain statistically significant differences in clinical cohorts. This stable performance explains the observation that many Ki-67 studies achieve significant results despite relevant interobserver variance and points to a high clinical validity of this biomarker. For clinical decisions based on analysis of individual patient data, ongoing efforts to further reduce interobserver variability, including ring trials and standardized guidelines as well as image analysis approaches, should be continued.