Climate challenges, vulnerabilities, and food security.
Margaret C NelsonScott E IngramAndrew J DugmoreRichard StreeterMatthew A PeeplesThomas H McGovernMichelle HegmonJette ArneborgKeith W KintighSeth BrewingtonKatherine A SpielmannIan A SimpsonColleen StrawhackerLaura E L ComeauAndrea TorvinenChristian K MadsenGeorge HambrechtKonrad SmiarowskiPublished in: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America (2015)
This paper identifies rare climate challenges in the long-term history of seven areas, three in the subpolar North Atlantic Islands and four in the arid-to-semiarid deserts of the US Southwest. For each case, the vulnerability to food shortage before the climate challenge is quantified based on eight variables encompassing both environmental and social domains. These data are used to evaluate the relationship between the "weight" of vulnerability before a climate challenge and the nature of social change and food security following a challenge. The outcome of this work is directly applicable to debates about disaster management policy.