Projecting the end of the Zika virus epidemic in Latin America: a modelling analysis.
Kathleen M O'ReillyRachel LoweW John EdmundsPhilippe MayaudAdam KucharskiRosalind M M EggoSebastian FunkDeepit BhatiaKamran KhanMoritz U G KraemerAnnelies Wilder-SmithLaura C RodriguesPatricia BrasilEduardo MassadThomas JaenischSimon CauchemezOliver J BradyLaith YakobPublished in: BMC medicine (2018)
The findings suggest that the ZIKV epidemic is by and large over within LAC, with incidence projected to be low in most cities in 2018. Local low levels of transmission are probable, but the estimated rate of infection suggests that most cities have a population with high levels of herd immunity.