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Use of routine death and illness surveillance data to provide insight for UK pandemic planning: lessons from COVID-19.

Helen E CloughK Marie McIntyreGrace E PattersonJohn P HarrisJonathan Rushton
Published in: BMJ open (2021)
Early contextualisation of public health data is critical to recognising who gets sick, when and why. Understanding at-risk groups facilitates a targeted response considering indirect consequences of society's reaction to a pandemic alongside disease-related impacts. COVID-19-related deaths mainly mirror historical patterns, and excess non-COVID-19-related deaths partly reflect reduced access to and uptake of healthcare during lockdown. Future outbreak response will improve through better understanding of connectivity between disease monitoring systems to aid interpretation of disease risk patterns, facilitating nuanced mitigation measures.
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