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Secular trends of hypertension prevalence based on 2017 ACC/AHA and 2018 Chinese hypertension guidelines: Results from CHNS data (1991-2015).

Li-Qiang ZhengYue DaiPeng FuTiangui YangYanxia XieJia ZhengJinyue GaoTiesheng Niu
Published in: Journal of clinical hypertension (Greenwich, Conn.) (2020)
This study aimed to assess the impact of the 2017 American College of Cardiology and American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) guideline and the 2018 Chinese hypertension guidelines on the different secular trends for hypertension prevalence. A total of 82 665 eligible individuals aged ≥20 years were selected from nine cross-sectional study periods (1991-2015) from the China Health and Nutrition Survey (CHNS). Over the 24-year period, the long-term trend for the prevalence of the 2017 ACC/AHA-defined age-adjusted hypertension showed an increase from 32.2% (95% confidence interval (CI): 31.0%-33.3%) in 1991 to 60.0% (95% CI: 58.6%-61.3%) in 2015 (Ptrend  < 0.001). According to the 2018 Chinese guideline for hypertension, the weighted hypertension prevalence increased from 10.0% (95% CI: 9.4%-10.5%) in 1991 to 28.7% (95% CI: 27.9%-29.6%) in 2015 (Ptrend  < 0.001). However, slopes of increasing prevalence of hypertension were significantly greater according to the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline than that based on Joint National Committee (JNC 7) report (β = 1.00% vs β = 0.67% per year, respectively, P = 0.041). Based on the 2017 ACC/AHA definition, the prevalence of stage 1 hypertension and elevated blood pressure significantly increase from 22.3% and 6.9% in 1991 to 31.2% and 10.1% in 2015 (all P < 0.05), respectively. The secular trend for the prevalence of hypertension according to the 2017 ACC/AHA guideline showed a greater rate of increase compared with the prevalence based on the 2018 Chinese hypertension guidelines. Public health initiatives should focus on the current status of hypertension in China because of the possible high prevalence of hypertension and concomitant vascular risks.
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