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Air quality improvements can strengthen China's food security.

Xiang LiuBowen ChuRong TangYifan LiuBo QiuMeng GaoXing LiJingfeng XiaoHaitong Zhe SunXin HuangAnkur R DesaiAijun DingHaikun Wang
Published in: Nature food (2024)
Air pollution exerts crucial influence on crop yields and impacts regional and global food supplies. Here we employ a statistical model using satellite-based observations and flexible functional forms to analyse the synergistic effects of reductions in ozone and aerosols on China's food security. The model consistently shows that ozone is detrimental to crops, whereas aerosol has variable effects. China's maize, rice and wheat yields are projected to increase by 7.84%, 4.10% and 3.43%, respectively, upon reaching two air quality targets (60 μg m -3 for peak-season ozone and 35 μg m -3 for annual fine particulate matter). Average calories produced from these crops would surge by 4.51%, potentially allowing China to attain grain self-sufficiency 2 years earlier than previously estimated. These results show that ozone pollution control should be a high priority to increase staple crop edible calories, and future stringent air pollution regulations would enhance China's food security.
Keyphrases
  • particulate matter
  • air pollution
  • climate change
  • heavy metals
  • global health
  • cancer therapy
  • health risk assessment