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Fatalism, beliefs, and behaviors during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Jesper AkessonSam Ashworth-HayesRobert HahnRobert MetcalfeItzhak Rasooly
Published in: Journal of risk and uncertainty (2022)
Little is known about how people's beliefs concerning the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) influence their behavior. To shed light on this, we conduct an online experiment ( n = 3 , 610 ) with US and UK residents. Participants are randomly allocated to a control group or to one of two treatment groups. The treatment groups are shown upper- or lower-bound expert estimates of the infectiousness of the virus. We present three main empirical findings. First, individuals dramatically overestimate the dangerousness and infectiousness of COVID-19 relative to expert opinion. Second, providing people with expert information partially corrects their beliefs about the virus. Third, the more infectious people believe that COVID-19 is, the less willing they are to take protective measures, a finding we dub the "fatalism effect". We develop a formal model that can explain the fatalism effect and discuss its implications for optimal policy during the pandemic.
Keyphrases
  • coronavirus disease
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  • respiratory syndrome coronavirus
  • healthcare
  • clinical practice
  • public health
  • combination therapy
  • mental health
  • cross sectional
  • replacement therapy
  • social media
  • disease virus