The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change.
Ana Maria Vicedo-CabreraNoah ScovronickF SeraDominic RoyéRochelle SchneiderA TobiasC AstromYuming GuoY HondaD M HondulaR AbrutzkyS TongMicheline De Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio CoelhoP H Nascimento SaldivaE LavigneP Matus CorreaN Valdes OrtegaHaidong KanS OsorioJ KyselýA UrbanH OrruE IndermitteJouni J K JaakkolaNiilo R I RytiM PascalA SchneiderK KatsouyanniE SamoliF MayvanehA EntezariP GoodmanA ZekaP MichelozziF de'DonatoMasahiro HashizumeB AlahmadM Hurtado DiazC De La Cruz ValenciaAla Vladimir OvercencoD HouthuijsC AmelingS RaoF Di RuscioGabriel Carrasco-EscobarX SeposoSusana Pereira SilvaJ MadureiraI H HolobacaS FratianniFiorella AcquaottaHo KimW LeeC IniguezBertil ForsbergM S RagettliY L L GuoB Y ChenS LiB ArmstrongA AlemanA ZanobettiJoel D SchwartzDang Ngoc TranD V DungNathan P GillettAndrew HainesMatthias MengelVeronika HuberAntonio GasparriniPublished in: Nature climate change (2021)
Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991-2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5-76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.
Keyphrases
- climate change
- human health
- endothelial cells
- public health
- heat stress
- high glucose
- cardiovascular events
- risk assessment
- risk factors
- diabetic rats
- drug induced
- induced pluripotent stem cells
- cardiovascular disease
- type diabetes
- pluripotent stem cells
- oxidative stress
- big data
- machine learning
- deep learning
- artificial intelligence
- global health