Assessing trial representativeness using serious adverse events: an observational analysis using aggregate and individual-level data from clinical trials and routine healthcare data.
Peter HanlonElaine ButterlyAnoop S V ShahLaurie J HanniganSarah H WildBruce GuthrieFrances S MairSofia DiasNicky J WeltonDavid A McAllisterPublished in: BMC medicine (2022)
Trial participants experience fewer SAEs than expected based on age/sex/condition hospitalisation and death rates in routine care, confirming the predicted lack of representativeness. This difference is only partially explained by differences in multimorbidity. Assessing observed/expected SAE may help assess the applicability of trial findings to older populations in whom multimorbidity and frailty are common.